Solar radiation forecasts for control and monitoring of the electrical grid
The aim of this project is to support the expansion of solar PV in Sweden by contributing to a system-friendly deployment in a future grid with 100 % renewable power that is both flexible and robust.
The goal is twofold:
- to develop solar radiation forecasts to gain knowledge about the Nordic PV production in space and time,
- to study how such forecasts can be used to maintain a reliable electric power infrastructure by means of needs-based control, diagnostics and evaluation of the PV production.
The forecasts will be available for any panel orientation over the Scandinavian area with a horizontal resolution of 2.5 km and a forecast horizon of 48 hours. The goal is that the forecast quality should be high enough to enable responsible actors to regulate power in a future electricity grid with a much higher share of PV power than today's.
About the project
Funding
The work is funded by the Swedish Energy Agency
Partners
The project is lead by SMHI, and is carried out in collaboration with Mälardalens högskola.
Project period
The project will be carried out during 2017-2018