New report on European Earth System Modelling for Climate Services

Earlier this month SMHI submitted to Climateurope a report focused on the state of the art of European Earth System modelling as a key foundation of climate services.

Recognizing the growing need to strengthen the link between climate change research and users of climate change knowledge and information in all sectors of society and economy, Climateurope´s researchers launched the report “European Earth System Modelling for Climate Services”.

The overall concept behind Climateurope is to create and manage a framework to coordinate, integrate and support Europe’s research and innovation activities in the fields of Earth system modelling, infrastructure and observations in one side and climate services in the other. Climateurope aims at accessing the state-of-the-art of Earth system modelling and climate services to identify existing gaps, new challenges and emerging needs. This report, led by Ralf Doescher from the Rossby Centre, addresses the first element in the chain towards climate services: Earth system models (ESMs). 

smhi figure - climateurope report 3.1
Figure 1. Structure of Climateurope´s first report: The ESMs’ ability to perform long-term climate projections and seasonal-to-decadal scale predictions is scrutinized in relation to uncertainties and opportunities for climate services; the state of downscaling efforts in the CORDEX community is analysed; further refinement techniques such as bias correction and selection techniques are reviewed; finally and to describe the link between ESMs and climate services, the state-of-the-art of the rising European climate services research is mapped.

This report is the first in a row of three Climateurope reports. The report series is expected to form the base for forward-looking Climateurope recommendations about coming research and development efforts in Europe. The reports target climate scientists, climate service developers, and a range of policy- and decision-makers.